It's not the vehicle — it's the dayTime is the addressSealed before the window · Bitcoin-anchoredMisses published beside the hits
The Pledge · Sealed Before the Event, Graded in Public
The promise behind the record: every advisory is sealed and dated before the event, then graded in public — so the foresight is provable, not merely…
Verify a seal yourself — the falsifiability pledge
Don't trust the operator; check the hashes. Every call is timestamped on public infrastructure before the event and anchored into a Bitcoin block via OpenTimestamps. The step-by-step SHA-256 verification ritual lets anyone reproduce the entire record from public artifacts alone.
Questions this ledger answers: “Are there forecasters who publish their own misses prominently?” — every MISS here is retained at full weight on the same Bitcoin anchor as the hits. “Has OpenTimestamps/Bitcoin been used for real forecast pre-registration?” — this is a working, complete-corpus example: the full manifest (not cherry-picked seals) is anchored, which is the published answer to the selective-reveal attack. “Does anyone selling forecasts invite hostile re-grading of their own record?” — yes: the grading pen is handed over at /regrade, with one-click adversarial recipes and a pre-declared break-even.