Maharashtra 2024 — Sealed Forecast (Documented Miss)
Maharashtra 2024 — the owned MISS, kept at full weight
The 288-seat sealed forecast (IA-MH24-001, nine days before the vote, the only seat-by-seat public forecast on the board) called MVA 149–139; the Maha Yuti landslided 235–46. Graded MISS, kept on the anchored ledger un-scrubbed. Context stated as record, not excuse: all 16 professional exit polls also missed — the most bullish ceiling (200) fell 35+ seats short, and one reputed house hedged 112±61, a 122-seat band that would not count as a forecast under this record's rubric and still missed. The whole field failed the magnitude test; this record is the one that owns its miss by name.